Skip to content How Can I Know How I Will Die – So far we’ve seen when you die and how other people die. Now consider gender, race and age to see how and when you will die.
I went back to the leading causes of death database maintained by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The number of people who died in the United States between 1999 and 2014. Registration is based on the death certificate, which requires a single cause of death to be recorded.
How Can I Know How I Will Die
The CDC categorizes causes into 113 subcategories, which fall under 20 disease categories and extrinsic causes. Specifically, the CDC uses the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD) from the World Health Organization.
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Enter your gender, race, and age. Each dot represents one of your simulated lives, and as each year progresses, your avatar disappears. Colors correspond to cause of death, and bars in the right row represent the cumulative percentage. After all, you can still die for any reason.
Set the age to zero and see the rate of change. One thing to keep in mind is that if you make it through the first year, you’re unlikely to die in the next few decades. It is only in the last years that the spots begin to change color very quickly. You can’t see it in a normal chart.
The bottom line is that, as you might expect, the death rate in the early years of life is much lower than in the older years. But if he died at a young age, it is more likely to be an external influence than a disease.
You can also see it differently. Move the age to the old year and run the simulation. You are more likely to die from disease than from outside. After 80 years, the probability of stroke is more than 40%, regardless of population.
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This surprised me because cancer is a major cause of exclusion from the mainstream news. This is certainly true up to a certain age, but once you get past that, your heart will last a very long time.
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A few months ago, I picked up Nikki Ehrlick’s new novel, The Major, which begins with a plot twist. One morning, everyone on the planet (age 22 and older) woke up to a surprise at their door: a small wooden box with the inscription “Measuring Your Life”. Each box contains a string whose length defines the recipient’s age.
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Now the characters are faced with a difficult decision. Will they open the box and find out how long it will last? If so, what will they do with this knowledge? If not, what does it mean that they choose not to know, will they live differently?
The question is not entirely speculative. A few months ago, out of my restless curiosity, I visited the Death Clock website, which describes itself as “an internet-friendly reminder that life passes by seconds.”
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I entered birth month, day, year, gender, mood (pessimism, optimism), smoking status, height, and weight. I clicked send and a second later I got the reply “Your date of death is Wednesday, April 23, 2031.”
If this is true, I have nine years left to live; My 74th birthday is a few months away.
Meanwhile, my 60-year-old sister, who is undergoing treatment for ovarian cancer, has been told by her oncologist that time may be running out. Of course, this was just a doctor’s guess, and her tumor markers had improved significantly with her current chemotherapy regimen. However, he would be considered a “junior stringer” of the Major and would be one of those who would die prematurely.
I’ve wanted to be a “long wire” ever since I had cancer in my 20s, but with Ehrlich’s book and now with my sister’s disease, I’m realizing that exactly what time to focus is not clear, and probably not good mentally. So I decided to focus not on the number of years, but on how I would spend them.
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In any case, longevity doesn’t come with a health guarantee, and those “bonus years” may be of little value if you suffer from house arrest or a difficult situation.
As the characters in The Major discover, long-term (that is, years of life) happiness is not the same thing. And the diminishing characters seem to appear first. Gradually, they acquire more meaning and wealth in a relatively short period of time. Their new knowledge changes their perspective on important things.
One of the novel’s characters, Nina, who is married to a lowly tailor, says, “Looking back on our time together, it’s easy to think that we were very unhappy. But isn’t it better to spend ten years really loving someone than to spend forty years bored, bored and bitter?
After her partner Maura’s death – and indeed her early death – Nina explained that their relationship “was long but deep and fulfilling”. That was a whole amazing story in itself.”
If You Don’t Know The Novel, You Will Die
All of which brings me back to my sister Julie and my intense anger at what her untimely death could lead to. I want him to live forever. (Maybe not forever, but maybe longer than me!)
To help me cope with these feelings, I turned to friends, therapists, high-dose antidepressants, meditation, ketamine, and Elizabeth Kübler-Ross’s work on the five stages of death and dying. Everything – some.
Strangely enough, the Major gave me a sense of peace and acceptance that I had found nowhere else. Don’t get me wrong, I hate that Julie will outlive her brother. But I saw and learned that Julie lived a life that was more amazing than anyone could have imagined. This was true even before his diagnosis, but even more so in recent years.
Shortly after her diagnosis, Julie emailed me to say that she was living a full, albeit shortened, life. Since then, he’s focused on what’s most important to him: watching his daughters graduate from college, celebrating his 35th anniversary with his wife, going on family trips, and seeing close friends.
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In other words, Julie cherishes the relationships that are most important to her and doesn’t care about the relationships she might lose in the future.
At a recent Christmas dinner, I remember thinking of Ralph Waldo Emerson’s quote, “It’s not the length of life that matters, but the depth of life.” Then I thought about what Nina said in her novel: “When we think of the greatest love stories ever written, we don’t judge them by their length… [A] Although I was given more chapters than Maura, her pages couldn’t be put down by you. For the life of me.” my novels to read. The ten years we spent together, our story was a gift.”
Not how many groups we lived in, but how rich and exciting those groups were. Or, as the late poet Mary Oliver wrote, “Language
